Sligo Rovers 0-1 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.6
Over 2.5
36%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.96
No
62%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
40%
2.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
4.7
6+ Goals
6%
26.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.52 — our 40% vs market 33.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.15
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
17%
4.49
X/2
10%
6.35
X/X
13%
3.99
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
16%
5.1
2/X
11%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-6.9pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.5pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.7pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.06/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.75
-7% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +33%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
372 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 203 · 65%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
17.2 Crosses 12.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sligo Rovers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Waterford FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.38 xG 0.72
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
171 Passes 300
62% Pass Accuracy 74%
4 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
02.10.2021 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
18.07.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
26.03.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
26.09.2020 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
18.08.2020 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-1 HT 0-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sligo Rovers
0-1
AWAY Waterford FC
2.20 xG 0.62
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
214 Passes 127
66% Pass Accuracy 51%
23 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sligo Rovers vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waterford FC edged past Sligo Rovers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Waterford FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sligo Rovers had 56% of the ball to Waterford FC's 44%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.20 to 0.62 — on chances, Sligo Rovers could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sligo Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sligo Rovers and 0.83 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of Sligo Rovers vs Waterford FC?

Sligo Rovers 0-1 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sligo Rovers vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sligo Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sligo Rovers 37%, draw 31%, Waterford FC 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sligo Rovers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sligo Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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