KFA 3-3 AEgir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 1 Sep 2024

KFA
3-3 HT 0-0
AEgir
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Iceland - 2nd Division – 2024

KFA vs AEgir Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
16%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.89
Over 2.5
60%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.39
No
37%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
53%
+4.6pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.2pp
16%
Away Win
25%
-8.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
31%
+9.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
69%
-9.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.0pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

KFA v AEgir — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KFA EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY AEgir EU Bookmakers 29%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
3.08/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.10
+31% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
439 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

KFA vs AEgir Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KFA
1W-0D-0L
AWAY AEgir
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
29.06.2024 AEgir AEgir 0-1 HT 0-1 KFA KFA İZL2
POST-MATCH KFA vs AEgir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KFA and AEgir shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had KFA at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

What was the final score of KFA vs AEgir?

KFA 3-3 AEgir in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KFA vs AEgir?

Before kick-off our model rated a KFA win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split KFA 57%, draw 26%, AEgir 16%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KFA) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KFA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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