AEgir 0-1 KFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 29 Jun 2024

AEgir
0-1 HT 0-1
KFA
📅29/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Iceland - 2nd Division – 2024

AEgir vs KFA Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.63
Over 2.5
58%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
-0.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
25%
Away Win
25%
+0.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
34%
+7.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
66%
-7.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.3pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AEgir v KFA — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEgir EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY KFA EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.21/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/3.17
-47% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
329 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH AEgir vs KFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KFA nicked a narrow win over AEgir 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was AEgir at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of AEgir vs KFA?

AEgir 0-1 KFA in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEgir vs KFA?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEgir win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split AEgir 52%, draw 23%, KFA 25%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AEgir) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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