KFG Gardabar 4-4 Vikingur Olafsvik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
43%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.63
Over 2.5
58%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
25%
+8.4pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.6pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-10.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
34%
+8.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
66%
-8.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.6pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KFG Gardabar EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Vikingur Olafsvik EU Bookmakers 57%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
2.04/3.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+34% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KFG Gardabar
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Vikingur Olafsvik
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 5
12.08.2023 Vikingur Olafsvik Vikingur Olafsvik 2-2 HT 1-0 KFG Gardabar KFG Gardabar İZL2
03.06.2023 KFG Gardabar KFG Gardabar 1-4 HT 0-2 Vikingur Olafsvik Vikingur Olafsvik İZL2
19.04.2018 KFG Gardabar KFG Gardabar 0-5 HT 0-2 Vikingur Olafsvik Vikingur Olafsvik İZK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KFG Gardabar
4-4
AWAY Vikingur Olafsvik
29% Ball Possession 71%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KFG Gardabar vs Vikingur Olafsvik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KFG Gardabar and Vikingur Olafsvik shared the points in a 4-4 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Vikingur Olafsvik at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, KFG Gardabar had 29% of the ball to Vikingur Olafsvik's 71%, shots finished 9-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vikingur Olafsvik led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for KFG Gardabar and 3.67 for Vikingur Olafsvik.

What was the final score of KFG Gardabar vs Vikingur Olafsvik?

KFG Gardabar 4-4 Vikingur Olafsvik in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KFG Gardabar vs Vikingur Olafsvik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vikingur Olafsvik win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split KFG Gardabar 34%, draw 23%, Vikingur Olafsvik 43%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vikingur Olafsvik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vikingur Olafsvik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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