Wehen Wiesbaden 2-1 Energie Cottbus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.08
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
9.78
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.08 — our 26% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.18
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.25
X/1
13%
4.12
X/2
7%
9.43
X/X
13%
5.52
2/1
6%
21.85
2/2
20%
6.84
2/X
6%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+9.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Energie Cottbus EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -11%
1.41/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.43
+5% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
337 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 70%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
26.2 Crosses 16.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Energie Cottbus
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.09 xG 1.45
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
273 Passes 390
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.01.2019 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 2-3 HT 0-3 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
05.08.2018 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 0-2 HT 0-1 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
19.03.2016 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 0-0 HT 0-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
04.10.2015 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 2-2 HT 0-2 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
14.02.2015 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-2 HT 1-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
26.08.2014 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 2-0 HT 2-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
2-1
AWAY Energie Cottbus
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 14
263 Passes 390
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wehen Wiesbaden vs Energie Cottbus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wehen Wiesbaden edged past Energie Cottbus 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Wehen Wiesbaden as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Wehen Wiesbaden had 41% of the ball to Energie Cottbus's 59%, shots finished 11-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Energie Cottbus led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wehen Wiesbaden and 1.67 for Energie Cottbus.

What was the final score of Wehen Wiesbaden vs Energie Cottbus?

Wehen Wiesbaden 2-1 Energie Cottbus in the Germany - 3rd Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wehen Wiesbaden vs Energie Cottbus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wehen Wiesbaden win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Wehen Wiesbaden 45%, draw 24%, Energie Cottbus 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wehen Wiesbaden) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wehen Wiesbaden) ✗ BTTS No
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