Unterhaching 2-0 Rot-Weiss Essen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.0
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.94
1/2
9%
25.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
16%
6.08
X/2
19%
5.33
X/X
10%
5.07
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
28.0
2/2
11%
3.28
2/X
6%
12.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 9% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.8pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Unterhaching EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.44/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.38
+3% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.4 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Unterhaching
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
42% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-3 HT 1-2 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
04.10.2023 Unterhaching Unterhaching 4-0 HT 2-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
15.04.2007 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 HT 1-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL2
12.11.2006 Unterhaching Unterhaching 2-1 HT 1-1 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL2
22.05.2005 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 0-1 HT 0-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL2
12.12.2004 Unterhaching Unterhaching 4-0 HT 3-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Unterhaching
2-0
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
38% Ball Possession 62%
17 Total Shots 26
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 11
244 Passes 434
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Unterhaching vs Rot-Weiss Essen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Unterhaching saw off Rot-Weiss Essen 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 39% — and on the day Unterhaching made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Unterhaching had 38% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Essen's 62%, shots finished 17-26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Unterhaching had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Unterhaching and 0.50 for Rot-Weiss Essen.

What was the final score of Unterhaching vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Unterhaching 2-0 Rot-Weiss Essen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Unterhaching vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Unterhaching 37%, draw 24%, Rot-Weiss Essen 39%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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