Rot-Weiss Essen 1-3 Unterhaching — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 2 Mar 2024

Rot-Weiss Essen
1-3 HT 1-2
Unterhaching
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Unterhaching Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 26% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.34
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.1
X/1
11%
4.18
X/2
7%
8.47
X/X
11%
5.27
2/1
8%
22.7
2/2
16%
6.23
2/X
7%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-10.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.9pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rot-Weiss Essen v Unterhaching — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Unterhaching EU Bookmakers 27%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.88/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.45
+5% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
– Crosses 15.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Unterhaching Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Unterhaching
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.10.2023 Unterhaching Unterhaching 4-0 HT 2-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
15.04.2007 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 HT 1-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL2
12.11.2006 Unterhaching Unterhaching 2-1 HT 1-1 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL2
22.05.2005 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 0-1 HT 0-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL2
12.12.2004 Unterhaching Unterhaching 4-0 HT 3-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL2

Rot-Weiss Essen 1-3 Unterhaching — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
1-3
AWAY Unterhaching
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 10
11 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Essen vs Unterhaching
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Unterhaching got the better of Rot-Weiss Essen 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Rot-Weiss Essen at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Essen had 57% of the ball to Unterhaching's 43%, shots finished 14-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Unterhaching led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Rot-Weiss Essen and 2.40 for Unterhaching.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Unterhaching?

Rot-Weiss Essen 1-3 Unterhaching in the Germany - 3rd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Unterhaching?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 42%, draw 28%, Unterhaching 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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