Lübeck 0-0 Saarbrücken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
56%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
3.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
3.37
6+ Goals
9%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 36% vs market 22.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.61
1/2
5%
22.7
1/X
7%
15.9
X/1
8%
9.82
X/2
16%
3.89
X/X
7%
5.31
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
34%
2.13
2/X
11%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-0.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
56%
Away Win
55%
+0.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lübeck EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 60%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.45/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.49/1.21
-59% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +87% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lübeck
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Saarbrücken
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-1 HT 0-1 Lübeck Lübeck AL3
24.01.2021 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 0-0 HT 0-0 Lübeck Lübeck AL3
19.09.2020 Lübeck Lübeck 1-1 HT 1-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lübeck
0-0
AWAY Saarbrücken
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lübeck vs Saarbrücken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lübeck and Saarbrücken fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Saarbrücken at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Lübeck had 50% of the ball to Saarbrücken's 50%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lübeck and 0.67 for Saarbrücken.

What was the final score of Lübeck vs Saarbrücken?

Lübeck 0-0 Saarbrücken in the Germany - 3rd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lübeck vs Saarbrücken?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Lübeck 20%, draw 24%, Saarbrücken 56%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Saarbrücken) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
2 Mar 2024
16:00 Waldhof Mannheim vs Jahn Regensburg Analysis →
16:00 Erzgebirge Aue vs Preussen Münster Analysis →
16:00 1860 München vs Ulm 1846 Analysis →
16:00 Hallescher FC vs Dynamo Dresden Analysis →
18:30 Rot-Weiss Essen vs Unterhaching Analysis →