1860 München 0-1 Ulm 1846 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 2 Mar 2024

1860 München
0-1 HT 0-0
Ulm 1846
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

1860 München vs Ulm 1846 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.15
6+ Goals
8%
20.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 32% vs market 29.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.78
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
11%
13.7
X/1
16%
5.27
X/2
17%
5.4
X/X
7%
4.24
2/1
5%
31.5
2/2
16%
3.9
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.5pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

1860 München v Ulm 1846 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 1860 München EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.77/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.32
+27% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
294 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 73%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.1 Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

1860 München vs Ulm 1846 Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 1860 München
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ulm 1846
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.10.2023 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 1-0 HT 1-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
13.02.2019 1860 München 1860 München 1-0 HT 1-0 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 HAZ

1860 München 0-1 Ulm 1846 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 1860 München
0-1
AWAY Ulm 1846
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH 1860 München vs Ulm 1846
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulm 1846 edged past 1860 München 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Ulm 1846 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, 1860 München had 41% of the ball to Ulm 1846's 59%, shots finished 6-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for 1860 München and 0.50 for Ulm 1846.

What was the final score of 1860 München vs Ulm 1846?

1860 München 0-1 Ulm 1846 in the Germany - 3rd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 1860 München vs Ulm 1846?

Before kick-off our model rated a 1860 München win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split 1860 München 38%, draw 25%, Ulm 1846 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (1860 München) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (1860 München) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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