RB Leipzig (K) 2-1 Köln (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.9
Over 2.5
40%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
13%
X/1
11%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
48%
-11.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+8.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
49%
+11.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
51%
-11.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig (K) EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RB Leipzig (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Köln (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.94 xG 1.66
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 11
225 Passes 343
65% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 22
8 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 1
03.02.2024 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Köln (K) Köln (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig (K)
2-1
AWAY Köln (K)
0.87 xG 1.51
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
189 Passes 234
64% Pass Accuracy 73%
7 Box Touches 25
5 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH RB Leipzig (K) vs Köln (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig (K) squeezed past Köln (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 35% — and on the day RB Leipzig (K) made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RB Leipzig (K) had 47% of the ball to Köln (K)'s 53%, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 0.87 to 1.51 — the balance of chances actually favoured Köln (K).

What was the final score of RB Leipzig (K) vs Köln (K)?

RB Leipzig (K) 2-1 Köln (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Leipzig (K) vs Köln (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a RB Leipzig (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig (K) 37%, draw 29%, Köln (K) 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RB Leipzig (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RB Leipzig (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALKB More Germany - Women's Bundesliga
1 Sep 2024
15:00 Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Hoffenheim (K) Analysis →