RB Leipzig (K) 2-1 Köln (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 3 Feb 2024

RB Leipzig (K)
2-1 HT 1-0
Köln (K)
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2023/2024

RB Leipzig (K) vs Köln (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.66
No
63%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
38%
-5.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
56%
-18.9pp
63%
BTTS No
44%
+18.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RB Leipzig (K) v Köln (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig (K) EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -51% / -51%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

RB Leipzig (K) 2-1 Köln (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig (K)
2-1
AWAY Köln (K)
0.94 xG 1.66
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 11
225 Passes 343
65% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 22
8 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RB Leipzig (K) vs Köln (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig (K) squeezed past Köln (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; RB Leipzig (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RB Leipzig (K) had 42% of the ball to Köln (K)'s 58%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.94 to 1.66 — on chances, Köln (K) could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of RB Leipzig (K) vs Köln (K)?

RB Leipzig (K) 2-1 Köln (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Leipzig (K) vs Köln (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Köln (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig (K) 32%, draw 30%, Köln (K) 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Köln (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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