Werder Bremen (K) 4-0 Nürnberg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
68%
-5.0pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.7pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+4.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen (K) EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg (K) EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
438 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Werder Bremen (K)
4-0
AWAY Nürnberg (K)
2.67 xG 1.08
56% Ball Possession 44%
24 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
246 Passes 187
74% Pass Accuracy 67%
35 Box Touches 7
28 Crosses 4
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen (K) vs Nürnberg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen (K) swept aside Nürnberg (K) 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Werder Bremen (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Werder Bremen (K) had 56% of the ball to Nürnberg (K)'s 44%, shots finished 24-5, expected goals 2.67 to 1.08.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen (K) vs Nürnberg (K)?

Werder Bremen (K) 4-0 Nürnberg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen (K) vs Nürnberg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Werder Bremen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen (K) 63%, draw 20%, Nürnberg (K) 16%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Werder Bremen (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Werder Bremen (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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