Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula Power Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Moreton City Excelsior v Peninsula Power — Team-Based Signals
Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula Power Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Moreton City Excelsior squeezed past Peninsula Power 4-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Moreton City Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Peninsula Power led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Moreton City Excelsior and 1.50 for Peninsula Power.
What was the final score of Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula Power?
Moreton City Excelsior 4-3 Peninsula Power in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula Power?
Before kick-off our model rated a Moreton City Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Moreton City Excelsior 44%, draw 19%, Peninsula Power 37%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.