Moreton City Excelsior 1-3 Peninsula Power — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
42%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.96
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.35
No
36%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.4pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.9pp
42%
Away Win
35%
+6.2pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.2pp
64%
BTTS Yes
70%
-6.4pp
36%
BTTS No
30%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 39%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.97/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.58/1.48
+14% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
248 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreton City Excelsior
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Peninsula Power
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
11.05.2024 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 0-0 HT 0-0 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior AVNPL
POST-MATCH Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula Power
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peninsula Power saw off Moreton City Excelsior 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Peninsula Power as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula Power?

Moreton City Excelsior 1-3 Peninsula Power in the Australia - National Premier League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreton City Excelsior vs Peninsula Power?

Before kick-off our model rated an Peninsula Power win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Moreton City Excelsior 36%, draw 22%, Peninsula Power 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peninsula Power), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Peninsula Power) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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