Dnepr Mogilev vs BATE Borisov Prediction — Model Probabilities
Dnepr Mogilev v BATE Borisov — Team-Based Signals
Dnepr Mogilev vs BATE Borisov Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Dnepr Mogilev 1-1 BATE Borisov — Actual Match Statistics
Dnepr Mogilev and BATE Borisov shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
We leaned BATE Borisov at 49% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The market had leaned harder still (1.60, ~62%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 49% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the over-2.5 price stood at 1.87, roughly 53%.
The match data tells the story: Dnepr Mogilev had 40% of the ball to BATE Borisov's 60%, shots finished 3-15.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, BATE Borisov led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dnepr Mogilev and 2.25 for BATE Borisov.
Dnepr Mogilev vs BATE Borisov Result & Final Score
Dnepr Mogilev 1-1 BATE Borisov in the Belarus - Premier League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Dnepr Mogilev vs BATE Borisov Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an BATE Borisov win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Dnepr Mogilev 24%, draw 27%, BATE Borisov 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (BATE Borisov), BTTS No went the other way.