BATE Borisov vs Dnepr Mogilev Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BATE Borisov v Dnepr Mogilev — Team-Based Signals
BATE Borisov vs Dnepr Mogilev Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Dnepr Mogilev
BLR
0-3
HT 0-2
BATE Borisov
BLR
3-0
HT 1-0
Dnepr Mogilev
BLR
BATE Borisov 1-1 Dnepr Mogilev — Actual Match Statistics
BATE Borisov and Dnepr Mogilev couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was BATE Borisov at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, BATE Borisov had 63% of the ball to Dnepr Mogilev's 37%, shots finished 11-10.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, BATE Borisov had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for BATE Borisov and 0.33 for Dnepr Mogilev.
What was the final score of BATE Borisov vs Dnepr Mogilev?
BATE Borisov 1-1 Dnepr Mogilev in the Belarus - Premier League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BATE Borisov vs Dnepr Mogilev?
Before kick-off our model rated a BATE Borisov win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split BATE Borisov 51%, draw 22%, Dnepr Mogilev 27%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.