Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.0pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 27%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.60
-8% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +83% / +78%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
23.07.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-4 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1-1
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiv Plovdiv at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 56% of the ball to Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's 44%, shots finished 6-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.50 for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 43%, draw 27%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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