LDU Quito 3-0 Barcelona SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.71
Over 2.5
53%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
55%
-1.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
55%
-7.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
45%
+7.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.63/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.55
-16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
20.1 Crosses 15.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Barcelona SC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.02 xG 0.65
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
310 Passes 242
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
23.05.2024 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 2-0 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
18.09.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-0 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
16.04.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 0-1 HT 0-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
29.08.2022 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-1 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
18.04.2022 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-0 HT 1-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
24.08.2021 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 0-2 HT 0-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
3-0
AWAY Barcelona SC
1.79 xG 0.70
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
199 Passes 296
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH LDU Quito vs Barcelona SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito swept aside Barcelona SC 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, LDU Quito had 42% of the ball to Barcelona SC's 58%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.79 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona SC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for LDU Quito and 0.83 for Barcelona SC.

What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Barcelona SC?

LDU Quito 3-0 Barcelona SC in the Ecuador - Premier on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Barcelona SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 53%, draw 24%, Barcelona SC 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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