Alianza 1-2 Isidro Metapan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.3pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.4pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.1pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 20%
-6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +19%
1.84/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.87
+9% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +83%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Isidro Metapan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
3 Corners 6
28.03.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-3 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
25.01.2024 Alianza Alianza 0-0 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
19.11.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 3-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
24.09.2023 Alianza Alianza 1-0 HT 1-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
28.04.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-2 HT 1-2 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
02.03.2023 Alianza Alianza 0-0 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Isidro Metapan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isidro Metapan edged past Alianza 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alianza and 0.83 for Isidro Metapan.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Isidro Metapan?

Alianza 1-2 Isidro Metapan in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Isidro Metapan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Alianza 48%, draw 30%, Isidro Metapan 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alianza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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