Isidro Metapan 0-3 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.84
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+7.9pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.2pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-4.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.8pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.27/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.94
+9% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Isidro Metapan
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Alianza
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
6 Corners 3
25.01.2024 Alianza Alianza 0-0 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
19.11.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 3-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
24.09.2023 Alianza Alianza 1-0 HT 1-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
28.04.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-2 HT 1-2 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
02.03.2023 Alianza Alianza 0-0 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
13.03.2022 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Isidro Metapan vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza swept aside Isidro Metapan 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Alianza found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Isidro Metapan and 0.67 for Alianza.

What was the final score of Isidro Metapan vs Alianza?

Isidro Metapan 0-3 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Isidro Metapan vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Isidro Metapan win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Isidro Metapan 40%, draw 28%, Alianza 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Isidro Metapan), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Isidro Metapan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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