Aguila 3-1 Once Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Deportivo EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
1.26/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.10
-8% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Once Deportivo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
23.10.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 1-2 HT 1-2 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
28.08.2023 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 1-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
01.05.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
06.03.2023 Aguila Aguila 1-1 HT 0-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
10.07.2022 Aguila Aguila 1-2 HT 0-1 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Once Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila got the better of Once Deportivo 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aguila and 0.83 for Once Deportivo.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Once Deportivo?

Aguila 3-1 Once Deportivo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Once Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Aguila 46%, draw 24%, Once Deportivo 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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