Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-1.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.87/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.33
+13% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luis Angel Firpo
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
3 Corners 6
25.01.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-2 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
30.10.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-1 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
04.09.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 3-1 HT 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Luis Angel Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo edged past Fuerte San Francisco 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Luis Angel Firpo as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Luis Angel Firpo and 1.33 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Luis Angel Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luis Angel Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Luis Angel Firpo 56%, draw 25%, Fuerte San Francisco 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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