Santa Tecla 3-1 Dragon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 28 Mar 2024

Santa Tecla
3-1 HT 1-0
Dragon
📅28/03/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2025/2026

Santa Tecla vs Dragon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.54
Over 2.5
48%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.03
No
46%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+5.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
61%
-8.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
39%
+8.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
45%
+8.5pp
46%
BTTS No
55%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Tecla v Dragon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Tecla EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Dragon EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.17/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.60
-8% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
300 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8

Santa Tecla vs Dragon Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Tecla
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Dragon
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.01.2024 Dragon Dragon 2-1 HT 1-1 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
12.11.2023 Dragon Dragon 4-0 HT 3-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
17.09.2023 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 0-2 HT 0-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
27.04.2023 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 2-0 HT 2-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
02.03.2023 Dragon Dragon 2-0 HT 1-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
POST-MATCH Santa Tecla vs Dragon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Tecla beat Dragon 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Santa Tecla made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dragon led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Santa Tecla and 2.00 for Dragon.

What was the final score of Santa Tecla vs Dragon?

Santa Tecla 3-1 Dragon in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Tecla vs Dragon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dragon win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Santa Tecla 34%, draw 27%, Dragon 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dragon), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dragon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ELSAL More El Salvador - Primera Liga
28 Mar 2024
00:15 Jocoro vs FAS Analysis →
00:30 Aguila vs Once Deportivo Analysis →
00:30 Luis Angel Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco Analysis →
04:30 Isidro Metapan vs Alianza Analysis →