HNK Cibalia 1-1 Jarun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 1 Sep 2024

HNK Cibalia
1-1 HT 0-1
Jarun
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Croatia - 2.HNL – 2024/2025

HNK Cibalia vs Jarun Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

HNK Cibalia v Jarun — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarun EU Bookmakers 30%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
2.02/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.79
+35% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +87%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
361 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.3

HNK Cibalia vs Jarun Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HNK Cibalia
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Jarun
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.05.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-1 HT 0-1 Jarun Jarun HIR2

HNK Cibalia 1-1 Jarun — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Cibalia
1-1
AWAY Jarun
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH HNK Cibalia vs Jarun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HNK Cibalia and Jarun couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was HNK Cibalia at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, HNK Cibalia had 63% of the ball to Jarun's 37%, shots finished 15-7.

What was the final score of HNK Cibalia vs Jarun?

HNK Cibalia 1-1 Jarun in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HNK Cibalia vs Jarun?

Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Cibalia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split HNK Cibalia 42%, draw 26%, Jarun 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (HNK Cibalia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HNK Cibalia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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