Roda vs De Graafschap Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Roda v De Graafschap — Team-Based Signals
Roda vs De Graafschap Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Roda
HOL2
2-0
HT 2-0
Roda
HOL2
3-2
HT 2-0
De Graafschap
HOL2
2-0
HT 1-0
De Graafschap
HOL2
0-3
HT 0-0
Roda
HOL2
Roda 1-4 De Graafschap — Actual Match Statistics
De Graafschap cruised past Roda 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Roda at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Roda had 47% of the ball to De Graafschap's 53%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.94 to 1.94.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Roda and 0.83 for De Graafschap.
What was the final score of Roda vs De Graafschap?
Roda 1-4 De Graafschap in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Roda vs De Graafschap?
Before kick-off our model rated a Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Roda 45%, draw 27%, De Graafschap 28%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roda) went the other way.