Roda vs De Graafschap Prediction — Model Probabilities
Roda v De Graafschap — Team-Based Signals
Roda vs De Graafschap Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Roda 1-1 De Graafschap — Actual Match Statistics
Roda and De Graafschap couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
Our model won't enjoy this one — Roda at 55% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (66%) missed.
By the numbers, De Graafschap saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.33 to 0.62.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Roda against 1.00 for De Graafschap.
Roda vs De Graafschap Result & Final Score
Roda 1 - 1 De Graafschap in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Roda vs De Graafschap Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Roda 55%, draw 22%, De Graafschap 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roda), Over 2.5 went the other way.