Coleraine FC 1-1 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 1 Sep 2024

Coleraine FC
1-1 HT 1-0
Larne FC
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
North Ireland - Premier League – 2024/2025

Coleraine FC vs Larne FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
45%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 29% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.88
1/2
8%
22.3
1/X
7%
15.85
X/1
8%
9.0
X/2
19%
3.94
X/X
13%
5.42
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.21
2/X
9%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+4.1pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.6pp
45%
Away Win
55%
-9.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Coleraine FC v Larne FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 59%
+18% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.32/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.62
+24% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +95%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Coleraine FC vs Larne FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coleraine FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Larne FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.04.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 5-0 HT 3-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
09.03.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
17.11.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
19.08.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
29.04.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
25.03.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Coleraine FC vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coleraine FC and Larne FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Larne FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Coleraine FC and 1.17 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Coleraine FC vs Larne FC?

Coleraine FC 1-1 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coleraine FC vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Coleraine FC 26%, draw 29%, Larne FC 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Larne FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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