Larne FC 5-0 Coleraine FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.75
2-3 Goals
40%
2.04
4-5 Goals
24%
2.61
6+ Goals
12%
6.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.66
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.45
X/1
15%
3.75
X/2
8%
14.35
X/X
10%
7.79
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
19.4
2/2
8%
9.95
2/X
7%
18.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.4 — our 10% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-7.0pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.7pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.0pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.72/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.90
+23% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Coleraine FC
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
17.11.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
19.08.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
29.04.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
25.03.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
25.11.2022 Larne FC Larne FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Larne FC
5-0
AWAY Coleraine FC
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Coleraine FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC ran out comfortable winners over Coleraine FC 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Larne FC as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Larne FC had 61% of the ball to Coleraine FC's 39%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coleraine FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Larne FC and 0.83 for Coleraine FC.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Coleraine FC?

Larne FC 5-0 Coleraine FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Coleraine FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 56%, draw 21%, Coleraine FC 23%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Larne FC), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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