Linfield FC 1-1 Cliftonville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.81
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
17.1
X/1
19%
3.74
X/2 EV+ ✗
14%
12.4
X/X
10%
6.65
2/1
6%
20.6
2/2
5%
9.13
2/X
9%
17.6
Value flag · X/2 at 12.4 — our 14% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
62%
-8.9pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.5pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 21%
+14% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
2.07/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.97
-9% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Cliftonville
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.02.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 0-3 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
20.10.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 0-1 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
22.08.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
29.04.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 0-2 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
11.02.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
10.01.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 1-0 HT 1-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Linfield FC
1-1
AWAY Cliftonville
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Cliftonville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC and Cliftonville couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Linfield FC at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Linfield FC had 59% of the ball to Cliftonville's 41%, shots finished 17-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Linfield FC and 0.33 for Cliftonville.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Cliftonville?

Linfield FC 1-1 Cliftonville in the North Ireland - Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Cliftonville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 54%, draw 23%, Cliftonville 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Linfield FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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