Dungannon Swifts 3-0 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.33
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.88
2-3 Goals
43%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.8
6+ Goals
9%
7.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.57
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
19.7
X/1
20%
3.6
X/2
14%
17.6
X/X
6%
7.3
2/1
5%
21.85
2/2
4%
13.4
2/X
10%
20.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
71%
-13.9pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.9pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+11.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 14%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
5.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.99
+97% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +28%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
444 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ballymena United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-4 HT 1-3 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
28.10.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-1 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
30.09.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
15.04.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-0 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
14.01.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-0 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
21.10.2022 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-1 HT 1-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dungannon Swifts
3-0
AWAY Ballymena United
69% Ball Possession 31%
13 Total Shots 2
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts ran out comfortable winners over Ballymena United 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dungannon Swifts as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Dungannon Swifts had 69% of the ball to Ballymena United's 31%, shots finished 13-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ballymena United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 1.50 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United?

Dungannon Swifts 3-0 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 57%, draw 21%, Ballymena United 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dungannon Swifts), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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