Glentoran FC 4-0 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
27%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.59
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.41
2-3 Goals
35%
2.0
4-5 Goals
28%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
6.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.98
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
18%
4.3
X/2
15%
11.1
X/X
12%
6.09
2/1
6%
20.6
2/2
6%
7.46
2/X
6%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
68%
-19.2pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.2pp
27%
Away Win
14%
+13.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 17%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
2.87/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.08
+16% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +79%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
417 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glentoran FC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Crusaders FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
27.01.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
28.10.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
05.09.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRLCAS
29.08.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
29.04.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
04.03.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Glentoran FC
4-0
AWAY Crusaders FC
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Glentoran FC vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glentoran FC cruised past Crusaders FC 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Glentoran FC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Glentoran FC had 67% of the ball to Crusaders FC's 33%, shots finished 17-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glentoran FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Glentoran FC and 1.00 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Glentoran FC vs Crusaders FC?

Glentoran FC 4-0 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glentoran FC vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glentoran FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Glentoran FC 49%, draw 24%, Crusaders FC 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Glentoran FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Glentoran FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL More North Ireland - Premier League
27 Apr 2024
19:30 Linfield FC vs Cliftonville Analysis →
19:30 Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United Analysis →
19:30 Newry City AFC vs Loughgall FC Analysis →
19:30 Larne FC vs Coleraine FC Analysis →
19:30 Glenavon FC vs Carrick Rangers Analysis →