Crusaders FC 1-2 Glentoran FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.15
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
3.61
6+ Goals
10%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 35% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.86
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
15%
5.61
X/2
14%
5.32
X/X
11%
4.48
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
14%
3.58
2/X
9%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.1pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+9% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.53/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.04
+17% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Glentoran FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
05.09.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRLCAS
29.08.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
29.04.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
04.03.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRK
30.01.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crusaders FC
1-2
AWAY Glentoran FC
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Glentoran FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glentoran FC nicked a narrow win over Crusaders FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Glentoran FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Crusaders FC had 55% of the ball to Glentoran FC's 45%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glentoran FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Crusaders FC and 1.17 for Glentoran FC.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Glentoran FC?

Crusaders FC 1-2 Glentoran FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Glentoran FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 36%, draw 29%, Glentoran FC 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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