Linfield FC 1-2 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
26%
2.65
6+ Goals
12%
6.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.76
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
16.9
X/1
15%
3.8
X/2
6%
12.8
X/X
9%
7.06
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
19.65
2/2
9%
8.99
2/X
8%
17.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.65 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-7.3pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.7pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.4pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 20%
+19% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
2.15/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.88
-2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -40%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
411 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
16.01.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-2 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KILK
09.12.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 4-3 HT 1-3 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
12.08.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-3 HT 1-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
24.03.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-5 HT 0-2 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
17.12.2022 Linfield FC Linfield FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
01.10.2022 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-1 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Linfield FC
1-2
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts nicked a narrow win over Linfield FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Linfield FC carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Linfield FC had 56% of the ball to Dungannon Swifts's 44%, shots finished 15-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Linfield FC and 1.00 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Linfield FC 1-2 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Premier League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 56%, draw 23%, Dungannon Swifts 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Linfield FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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