Ballymena United 0-1 Loughgall FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.15
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.61
6+ Goals
11%
14.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.82
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.6
X/1
18%
4.54
X/2
8%
6.88
X/X
10%
4.68
2/1
8%
25.0
2/2
10%
5.07
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
1.28/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/0.50
-17% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +105% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Loughgall FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 5-2 HT 3-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
16.09.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-3 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
08.01.2022 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-0 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ballymena United
0-1
AWAY Loughgall FC
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Loughgall FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loughgall FC nicked a narrow win over Ballymena United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ballymena United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ballymena United had 47% of the ball to Loughgall FC's 53%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Loughgall FC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ballymena United and 2.67 for Loughgall FC.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Loughgall FC?

Ballymena United 0-1 Loughgall FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Loughgall FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballymena United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 47%, draw 27%, Loughgall FC 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ballymena United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ballymena United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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