Coleraine FC 1-0 Glenavon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
12%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.72
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
20%
4.57
X/2
9%
6.99
X/X
12%
5.13
2/1
5%
23.0
2/2
17%
4.9
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.9pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 32%
-14% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +7%
1.10/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.54
-28% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
408 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coleraine FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Glenavon FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.12.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-3 HT 1-2 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KILK
02.12.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
07.10.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 4-1 HT 1-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
18.03.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
19.11.2022 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
26.08.2022 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coleraine FC
1-0
AWAY Glenavon FC
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Coleraine FC vs Glenavon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coleraine FC squeezed past Glenavon FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Coleraine FC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Coleraine FC had 42% of the ball to Glenavon FC's 58%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glenavon FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Coleraine FC and 1.67 for Glenavon FC.

What was the final score of Coleraine FC vs Glenavon FC?

Coleraine FC 1-0 Glenavon FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coleraine FC vs Glenavon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Coleraine FC 42%, draw 25%, Glenavon FC 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coleraine FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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