Newry City AFC 1-4 Loughgall FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.75
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
29%
3.29
6+ Goals
8%
11.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.29 — our 29% vs market 24.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
6.45
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
22.7
1/X
5%
14.75
X/1
9%
8.66
X/2
15%
4.14
X/X
15%
5.2
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.32
2/X
11%
14.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.7 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
-0.2pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.8pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-6.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.1pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 57%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-43% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newry City AFC
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Loughgall FC
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.02.2024 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL
21.10.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 3-1 HT 0-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL
05.08.2023 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 0-3 HT 0-3 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
15.03.2022 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL1
09.10.2021 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 1-1 HT 0-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newry City AFC
1-4
AWAY Loughgall FC
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Newry City AFC vs Loughgall FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loughgall FC ran out comfortable winners over Newry City AFC 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Loughgall FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Newry City AFC had 41% of the ball to Loughgall FC's 59%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Loughgall FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Newry City AFC and 1.60 for Loughgall FC.

What was the final score of Newry City AFC vs Loughgall FC?

Newry City AFC 1-4 Loughgall FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newry City AFC vs Loughgall FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Loughgall FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Newry City AFC 23%, draw 31%, Loughgall FC 46%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Loughgall FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Loughgall FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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