Atletico Ottawa 1-0 Vancouver FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 1 Sep 2024

Atletico Ottawa
1-0 HT 1-0
Vancouver FC
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2024

Atletico Ottawa vs Vancouver FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
10.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.19 — our 28% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-9.1pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.8pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Ottawa v Vancouver FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 20%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.06/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/2.09
-3% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
407 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.5
18.3 Crosses 9.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8

Atletico Ottawa vs Vancouver FC Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Ottawa
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Vancouver FC
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
2.12 xG 0.52
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
305 Passes 325
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.05.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
10.09.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
16.07.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 3-1 HT 1-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
17.06.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-0 HT 1-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
14.05.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-5 HT 0-2 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL

Atletico Ottawa 1-0 Vancouver FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Ottawa
1-0
AWAY Vancouver FC
2.06 xG 0.25
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
236 Passes 394
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Ottawa vs Vancouver FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Ottawa edged past Vancouver FC 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Ottawa as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Ottawa had 40% of the ball to Vancouver FC's 60%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 2.06 to 0.25 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Atletico Ottawa's control.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Atletico Ottawa and 0.80 for Vancouver FC.

What was the final score of Atletico Ottawa vs Vancouver FC?

Atletico Ottawa 1-0 Vancouver FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Ottawa vs Vancouver FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Atletico Ottawa 54%, draw 24%, Vancouver FC 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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