Kairat 0-1 FC Astana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kairat EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Astana EU Bookmakers 32%
+12% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.13/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.01
+64% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kairat
4W-0D-2L
AWAY FC Astana
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2024 FC Astana FC Astana 1-3 HT 1-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
27.08.2023 Kairat Kairat 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
16.04.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 0-3 HT 0-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
15.10.2022 Kairat Kairat 0-4 HT 0-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
14.05.2022 FC Astana FC Astana 6-0 HT 3-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
20.11.2021 Kairat Kairat 3-0 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZKK
POST-MATCH Kairat vs FC Astana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Astana squeezed past Kairat 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kairat at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kairat had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kairat and 1.83 for FC Astana.

What was the final score of Kairat vs FC Astana?

Kairat 0-1 FC Astana in the Kazakistan - Super League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kairat vs FC Astana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kairat 42%, draw 26%, FC Astana 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kairat) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kairat) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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