FC Astana 1-3 Kairat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
47%
-11.2pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.5pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.9pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Astana EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Kairat EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
0.82/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.54
-38% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Astana
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Kairat
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.08.2023 Kairat Kairat 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
16.04.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 0-3 HT 0-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
15.10.2022 Kairat Kairat 0-4 HT 0-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
14.05.2022 FC Astana FC Astana 6-0 HT 3-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
20.11.2021 Kairat Kairat 3-0 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZKK
07.11.2021 FC Astana FC Astana 0-3 HT 0-1 Kairat Kairat KAZKK
POST-MATCH FC Astana vs Kairat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kairat saw off FC Astana 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Kairat made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kairat led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Astana and 1.67 for Kairat.

What was the final score of FC Astana vs Kairat?

FC Astana 1-3 Kairat in the Kazakistan - Super League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Astana vs Kairat?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split FC Astana 36%, draw 31%, Kairat 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Astana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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29 Jun 2024
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