Ordabasy Shymkent 2-1 Kaisar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.13
No
45%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.6pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.4pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
43%
+11.9pp
45%
BTTS No
57%
-11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaisar EU Bookmakers 18%
-6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +23%
1.92/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.24
+9% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +28%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
437 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kaisar
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
13.08.2023 Kaisar Kaisar 2-3 HT 0-2 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
06.05.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 4-0 HT 1-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
31.08.2022 Kaisar Kaisar 1-1 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZKK
03.07.2021 Kaisar Kaisar 1-0 HT 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
24.04.2021 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 4-2 HT 1-2 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
21.11.2020 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 0-3 HT 0-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
POST-MATCH Ordabasy Shymkent vs Kaisar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent nicked a narrow win over Kaisar 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ordabasy Shymkent as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ordabasy Shymkent had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ordabasy Shymkent and 1.50 for Kaisar.

What was the final score of Ordabasy Shymkent vs Kaisar?

Ordabasy Shymkent 2-1 Kaisar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordabasy Shymkent vs Kaisar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 51%, draw 28%, Kaisar 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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