Kyzyl-Zhar 2-0 Shakhter Karagandy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.9pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhter Karagandy EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -12%
1.51/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.66
+4% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -25%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyzyl-Zhar
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Shakhter Karagandy
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 4
13.08.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-1 HT 1-1 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
07.05.2023 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
19.06.2022 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 1-2 HT 1-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
10.03.2022 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-1 HT 0-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
17.08.2021 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 8-1 HT 2-1 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZKK
16.07.2021 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 3-2 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZKK
POST-MATCH Kyzyl-Zhar vs Shakhter Karagandy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyzyl-Zhar saw off Shakhter Karagandy 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Kyzyl-Zhar made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhter Karagandy led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Kyzyl-Zhar and 1.33 for Shakhter Karagandy.

What was the final score of Kyzyl-Zhar vs Shakhter Karagandy?

Kyzyl-Zhar 2-0 Shakhter Karagandy in the Kazakistan - Super League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyzyl-Zhar vs Shakhter Karagandy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kyzyl-Zhar win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kyzyl-Zhar 40%, draw 30%, Shakhter Karagandy 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kyzyl-Zhar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kyzyl-Zhar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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KAZP More Kazakistan - Super League
29 Jun 2024
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