Atletico Bucaramanga 0-2 Deportes Tolima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.0pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.1pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 39%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +29%
1.01/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.18
-18% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +45%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
271 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
17.2 Crosses 12.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Deportes Tolima
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.80 xG 1.05
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
261 Passes 307
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2024 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
02.09.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
21.03.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
02.08.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 2-1 HT 1-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
07.02.2022 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
15.11.2021 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
0-2
AWAY Deportes Tolima
1.32 xG 1.02
70% Ball Possession 30%
17 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
447 Passes 150
83% Pass Accuracy 64%
26 Box Touches 9
36 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Atletico Bucaramanga vs Deportes Tolima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Tolima got the better of Atletico Bucaramanga 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 38%) promised a tight game; Deportes Tolima found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Bucaramanga had 70% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 30%, shots finished 17-3, expected goals 1.32 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atletico Bucaramanga and 0.83 for Deportes Tolima.

What was the final score of Atletico Bucaramanga vs Deportes Tolima?

Atletico Bucaramanga 0-2 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Bucaramanga vs Deportes Tolima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 31%, draw 31%, Deportes Tolima 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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