Jaguares De Cordoba 0-2 Atletico Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-1.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.6pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaguares De Cordoba EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 54%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.01/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.95
-18% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +12%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
248 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
17.1 Crosses 16.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaguares De Cordoba
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Atletico Nacional
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.07 xG 1.21
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
263 Passes 428
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.03.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-0 HT 0-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
30.07.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-1 HT 1-1 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
05.02.2023 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
12.09.2022 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
18.03.2022 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3-1 HT 1-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
01.11.2021 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaguares De Cordoba
0-2
AWAY Atletico Nacional
1.07 xG 1.62
43% Ball Possession 57%
18 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
301 Passes 422
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jaguares De Cordoba vs Atletico Nacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Nacional saw off Jaguares De Cordoba 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Jaguares De Cordoba had 43% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 57%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.07 to 1.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Jaguares De Cordoba and 1.50 for Atletico Nacional.

What was the final score of Jaguares De Cordoba vs Atletico Nacional?

Jaguares De Cordoba 0-2 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaguares De Cordoba vs Atletico Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Jaguares De Cordoba 26%, draw 26%, Atletico Nacional 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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