Atletico Nacional 2-0 Jaguares De Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.5pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba EU Bookmakers 18%
+3% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.54/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.40
+31% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.4
17.7 Crosses 12.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Nacional
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.41 xG 1.06
62% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
470 Passes 248
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.07.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-1 HT 1-1 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
05.02.2023 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
12.09.2022 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
18.03.2022 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3-1 HT 1-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
01.11.2021 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
25.03.2021 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3-1 HT 2-1 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Nacional
2-0
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
337 Passes 246
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
POST-MATCH Atletico Nacional vs Jaguares De Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Nacional saw off Jaguares De Cordoba 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Nacional had 57% of the ball to Jaguares De Cordoba's 43%, shots finished 18-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atletico Nacional and 0.83 for Jaguares De Cordoba.

What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Jaguares De Cordoba?

Atletico Nacional 2-0 Jaguares De Cordoba in the Colombia - Primera on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Jaguares De Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 54%, draw 26%, Jaguares De Cordoba 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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