Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 Aguilas Doradas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.7pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.2pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 27%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.00/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.04
+8% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
15.8 Crosses 14.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.81 xG 1.01
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
365 Passes 291
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.08.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 HT 1-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
25.02.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
07.10.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-1 HT 0-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
21.01.2022 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
20.09.2021 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 3-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
18.04.2021 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 4-1 HT 1-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
1-0
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
0.97 xG 0.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
273 Passes 312
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Bucaramanga vs Aguilas Doradas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga nicked a narrow win over Aguilas Doradas 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Bucaramanga as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Bucaramanga had 47% of the ball to Aguilas Doradas's 53%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.97 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguilas Doradas led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Bucaramanga and 1.33 for Aguilas Doradas.

What was the final score of Atletico Bucaramanga vs Aguilas Doradas?

Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 Aguilas Doradas in the Colombia - Primera on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Bucaramanga vs Aguilas Doradas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 44%, draw 27%, Aguilas Doradas 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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