Millonarios 3-1 Santa Fe — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Colombia - Primera, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
33%
2.96
Away
26%
3.1
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
61%
Over
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
46%
4-5
16%
6+
3%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
23%
2/1
2%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Millonarios The Market 44%
Signal
AWAY Santa Fe The Market 32%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.29 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.02
0.90 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.21
Average Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
16 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millonarios
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Santa Fe
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.45 xG 1.16
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
332 Passes 253
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
22.10.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-3 HT 1-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
11.09.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 2-4 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
08.05.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
27.03.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-2 HT 1-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
01.12.2022 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-1 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
07.11.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 1-1 HT 0-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millonarios
3 - 1
AWAY Santa Fe
0.37 xG 1.91
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 7
208 Passes 173
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
11 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Millonarios vs Santa Fe
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Millonarios had too much for Santa Fe 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Millonarios as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, possession split 52% to 48% in Millonarios's favour, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.37 to 1.91 — by the quality of chances, Santa Fe deserved more.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Millonarios against 1.50 for Santa Fe.

Millonarios vs Santa Fe Result & Final Score

Millonarios 3 - 1 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Millonarios vs Santa Fe Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 41%, draw 34%, Santa Fe 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Millonarios) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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