Progress / AFA Olaine 0-0 Valmiera II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.7pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Progress / AFA Olaine EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Valmiera II EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
2.93/2.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.86
+79% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Progress / AFA Olaine
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Valmiera II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
04.05.2024 Valmiera II Valmiera II 3-2 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine LET1
28.10.2023 Valmiera II Valmiera II 1-1 HT 1-0 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine LET1
08.07.2023 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine 1-4 Valmiera II Valmiera II LET1
POST-MATCH Progress / AFA Olaine vs Valmiera II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Progress / AFA Olaine and Valmiera II fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Progress / AFA Olaine at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Valmiera II led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Progress / AFA Olaine and 2.67 for Valmiera II.

What was the final score of Progress / AFA Olaine vs Valmiera II?

Progress / AFA Olaine 0-0 Valmiera II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Progress / AFA Olaine vs Valmiera II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Progress / AFA Olaine win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Progress / AFA Olaine 41%, draw 25%, Valmiera II 34%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Progress / AFA Olaine) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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