Budafoki MTE 1-1 Kozarmisleny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
20%
3.35
Away
46%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.5pp
20%
Draw
26%
-6.4pp
46%
Away Win
40%
+5.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.9pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budafoki MTE EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kozarmisleny EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.07/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.22
-14% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Budafoki MTE
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Kozarmisleny
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.03.2024 Kozarmisleny Kozarmisleny 2-0 HT 1-0 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE MAC2
27.08.2023 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 1-2 HT 1-1 Kozarmisleny Kozarmisleny MAC2
09.04.2023 Kozarmisleny Kozarmisleny 2-0 HT 0-0 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE MAC2
09.10.2022 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 0-3 HT 2-0 Kozarmisleny Kozarmisleny MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Budafoki MTE
1-1
AWAY Kozarmisleny
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Budafoki MTE vs Kozarmisleny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Budafoki MTE and Kozarmisleny shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kozarmisleny at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Budafoki MTE had 49% of the ball to Kozarmisleny's 51%, shots finished 16-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kozarmisleny led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Budafoki MTE and 2.25 for Kozarmisleny.

What was the final score of Budafoki MTE vs Kozarmisleny?

Budafoki MTE 1-1 Kozarmisleny in the Hungary - NB II on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budafoki MTE vs Kozarmisleny?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kozarmisleny win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Budafoki MTE 34%, draw 20%, Kozarmisleny 46%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kozarmisleny) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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