Budapest Vasas 3-2 Ajka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-6.2pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.6pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.4pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budapest Vasas EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajka EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +3%
2.02/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.32
+14% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Budapest Vasas
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Ajka
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
70% Ball Possession 30%
12 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas 0-0 HT 0-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
03.09.2023 Ajka Ajka 1-2 HT 1-2 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas MAC2
12.12.2021 Ajka Ajka 2-2 HT 2-0 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas MAC2
01.08.2021 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas 2-1 HT 2-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
11.04.2021 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas 2-1 HT 1-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
25.10.2020 Ajka Ajka 1-2 HT 0-1 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas MAC2
POST-MATCH Budapest Vasas vs Ajka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Budapest Vasas squeezed past Ajka 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Budapest Vasas as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Budapest Vasas had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Budapest Vasas and 1.00 for Ajka.

What was the final score of Budapest Vasas vs Ajka?

Budapest Vasas 3-2 Ajka in the Hungary - NB II on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budapest Vasas vs Ajka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Budapest Vasas win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Budapest Vasas 55%, draw 24%, Ajka 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Budapest Vasas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Budapest Vasas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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