Moss 1-0 Mjondalen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.97
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.97 — our 26% vs market 20.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
14%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moss EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.49/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.79
-24% / +113% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moss
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mjondalen
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
27.05.2024 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-2 HT 0-1 Moss Moss NOR1
20.08.2023 Moss Moss 4-1 HT 2-1 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
01.07.2023 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-2 HT 0-1 Moss Moss NOR1
24.10.2010 Moss Moss 1-1 HT 0-1 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
25.04.2010 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-3 HT 1-0 Moss Moss NOR1
11.10.2009 Mjondalen Mjondalen 3-1 HT 0-0 Moss Moss NOR1
POST-MATCH Moss vs Mjondalen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moss nicked a narrow win over Mjondalen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Moss as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Moss had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Moss and 1.33 for Mjondalen.

What was the final score of Moss vs Mjondalen?

Moss 1-0 Mjondalen in the Norway - 1st Division on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moss vs Mjondalen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moss win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Moss 47%, draw 26%, Mjondalen 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moss) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Moss) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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